Jan
15
2011
According to preliminary research by CNSIS , only two ambassadors were at the swearing in ceremony of internationally designated election usurper Gbagbo in Ivory Coast: the ambassador from Angola and the ambassador from Lebanon.
Jan
15
2011
The president of Angola finds himself in disagreement with the United Nations and has called for new elections in Ivory Coast. Angolan diplomacy is on the rise. Check back with CNSIS for more details in the days to come.
Jan
15
2011
President Ben Ali of Tunisia has fled to Saudi Arabia, abandoning power amidst riots that were fueled by anger related to unemployment and apparently commenced with the suicide of a young man who came to grief with officialdom because he was selling fruit without a license. Ben Ali came to power in 1987. Tunisia gained independence from France in 1956.
Dec
30
2010
In the previous article a series of questions were posited with respect to North Korea’s intentions and goals. Questions come before answers, or at least they should. Upon setting forth the fundamental questions the next step in the process is to establish a framework or construct that would enable one to interpret if not establish with certitude the political goals of the actor in question, in this case a nation-state. Upon reflection, this author has decided to recur to a terminology and methodology from a half-century ago, or so.. The term is brinkmanship, also occasionally spelled brinksmanship, and was apparently coined by US Secretary of State John Foster Dulles to describe a strategic approach to statecraft, manifested in particular incidents, during the Cold War with the USSR, such as the Cuban Missile Crisis. Brinkmanship may be a variation on the word gamesmanship and could be defined as going to the limit without actually going to war, done deliberately so as obtain a particular advantage, concession or outcome. The goal is to make the opponent back off or back down especially by creating the impression that one is willing to, or is actually going to resort to even more extreme actions, including war. Escalation is a part of this as well. A state that uses brinkmanship will often create a crisis. Does this describe the North Korean approach to international relations? If it does, have they been successful? Is it possible to know if a state intended to go to war? What would be the consequence of one side always backing down?
Dec
26
2010
Has North Korea in the latest crisis acted in a manner consistent with its past approach to international relations, both penninsular and transatlantic? Is war a real possibility, from their perspective? Why would the leadership desire another war? Or are they testing the limits of South Korean and US patience and/or political will?
Dec
26
2010
This is probably the largest arms deal ever,
between a NATO country and Russia.
Dec
26
2010
The US Senate has approved an arms control treaty.